Download Deterring America: Rogue States and the Proliferation of by Derek D. Smith PDF

By Derek D. Smith

Confronted with America's army superiority, many nations are turning to guns of mass destruction (WMD) as a method to discourage usa intervention. although, the occasions of September eleven woke up the USA to a point of vulnerability it had by no means skilled prior to, making it more and more unwilling to tolerate such guns within the palms of volatile and unpredictable regimes. via theoretical, old, and prescriptive lenses, this e-book explores the fashionable safety drawback created by way of the dual fears of yankee encroachment and vulnerability which shape a vicious cycle of lack of confidence that demanding situations conventional notions of deterrence. utilizing Iraq and North Korea as case reviews, Smith argues that the us might have to reconsider its international coverage suggestions opposed to WMD proliferation, giving renewed cognizance to protective measures, negotiated disarmament, interdiction, and maybe preemption.

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Additional info for Deterring America: Rogue States and the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction

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By contrast, immediate deterrence consists of a challenger making an explicit threat to use military force and the defender attempting to dissuade the opponent from attacking by threatening some form of reprisal. Direct deterrence describes the familiar Cold War relationship where each superpower seeks to prevent nuclear attacks on its homeland, whereas extended deterrence involves attempts to protect regional allies from war. Again, any real-world cases will likely involve a mixture of all of these categories.

2 (April–June 1995): 127. Morgan, Deterrence: A Conceptual Analysis, 40. Lewis A. Dunn, Controlling the Bomb: Nuclear Proliferation in the 1980s (New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1982), 83. 30 deterrence in a modern era their entire societies in mortal danger, and it would be remiss to assume that they never will do so again. 52 Expectations and vulnerabilities can develop through imprudent posturing, making the fear of a domestic uprising owing to a retreat the greater danger than forging ahead with a risky war.

It is worth remembering, however, that deterrence has failed many times in the past, and even nuclear powers have come quite close to war despite the harrowing potential for escalation. In the case 99 100 Gordon A. Craig and Alexander L. George, Force and Statecraft: Diplomatic Problems of our Time, 3rd edition (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995), 208; Garfinkle, “An Observation on Arab Culture and Deterrence,” 205. Payne, The Fallacies of Cold War Deterrence, 75. 101 Overall, the burden of proof is clearly on the side that holds that such an attack could never occur.

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