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384 Chapter 11. Gas resources, technology and production profiles What might prevent the take-off of unconventional gas production worldwide? 415 Chapter 12. Outlook for gas supply and investment Is peak gas on the horizon? 433 Chapter 14: Prospects for natural gas pricing Is the Gas Exporting Countries Forum the new “Gas-OPEC”? 530 Part D: Energy prospects in Southeast Asia © OECD/IEA, 2009 Chapter 15. Overview of energy trends in Southeast Asia Time for Southeast Asia to reduce its reliance on exports for growth?

On the assumption that the economy begins to recover by 2010, global demand is projected to rebound. 5% per year between 2010 and 2015. Supply capacity is set to grow faster. In the 450 Scenario, world primary gas demand grows by 17% between 2007 and 2030, but is 17% lower in 2030 compared with the Reference Scenario. Demand continues to grow in most non-OECD regions through to 2030, but some regions see a decline after 2020. Measures to encourage energy savings, by improving the efficiency of gas use and encouraging low-carbon technologies, reduce gas demand.

5 World buildings energy consumption by fuel and energy-related CO2 emissions in the 450 Scenario Chapter 7. 5 Chapter 8. 20 India energy demand and electricity generation 281 287 288 295 297 298 309 310 322 324 326 328 330 332 334 336 338 340 342 344 346 348 350 352 354 356 358 360 © OECD/IEA, 2009 Part C: Prospects for natural gas Chapter 10. 5 Summary of main drivers of gas demand by sector Assumed cost and technical parameters of power plants in the OECD starting commercial operation in 2015-2020 World primary natural gas demand in the Reference Scenario and the Higher and Lower Energy Prices Cases Chapter 11.

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